Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 5.909077 6.738627 7.653407 8.738756 9.993628 11.401579 13.104732
2025-06-01 4.683432 5.732775 6.981860 8.584633 10.595748 13.047491 16.280820
2025-06-08 3.914625 5.043591 6.464310 8.395541 10.970922 14.312945 19.020358
2025-06-15 3.573446 4.804551 6.427515 8.743624 11.996456 16.450114 23.092059
2025-06-22 3.227247 4.497930 6.240291 8.832126 12.637866 18.096182 26.652999
2025-06-29 2.905952 4.179000 5.985670 8.773080 13.030510 19.394686 29.829209
2025-07-06 2.627874 3.886488 5.728636 8.665969 13.315763 20.534182 32.867715
2025-07-13 2.489143 3.782148 5.731941 8.942116 14.204660 22.683623 37.774866
2025-07-20 2.349982 3.660538 5.691906 9.137163 14.972090 24.706258 42.711777
2025-07-27 2.257295 3.600996 5.739574 9.472250 15.997165 27.258719 48.892881
2025-08-03 2.068307 3.367367 5.482239 9.265731 16.062664 28.144804 52.134859
2025-08-10 1.916509 3.181550 5.286200 9.141826 16.253565 29.262211 55.937753
2025-08-17 1.780390 3.013036 5.108361 9.038635 16.481758 30.493129 60.174298
2025-08-24 1.648996 2.841737 4.910789 8.879596 16.586563 31.497980 64.087431
2025-08-31 1.525476 2.674033 4.704853 8.683521 16.595527 32.308520 67.691001
2025-09-07 1.493192 2.667622 4.788966 9.044647 17.737057 35.516891 76.935695
2025-09-14 1.426531 2.592185 4.738312 9.136470 18.339619 37.674656 84.131950
2025-09-21 1.346050 2.484358 4.617292 9.075208 18.614410 39.160064 89.973655
2025-09-28 1.266410 2.372046 4.478511 8.964080 18.769211 40.395824 95.388792
2025-10-05 1.238112 2.357169 4.528912 9.250592 19.820430 43.763532 106.581386
2025-10-12 1.202056 2.324026 4.539749 9.452977 20.703701 46.846945 117.529746
2025-10-19 1.182604 2.322638 4.614579 9.800702 21.956733 50.957703 131.854048
2025-10-26 1.109881 2.206918 4.443644 9.586389 21.865776 51.781396 137.337598